Wednesday, November 5, 2008
Halloween Fun
Sunday, October 26, 2008
Primary
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
The Pumpkin Patch!
On Saturday after I got back from my retreat Chad and I went to a
Girls Retreat
This past weekend I went on a relief society retreat with my ward. There were 27 women who went, so it was a lot of fun. We left on Friday night and had a testimony meeting and then sat around the fire talking and eating cookies. My testimony was strengthened that Heavenly Father really knows each of us individually by name and that He has a plan for us and always does what is for our good. If we follow him we will be completely happy. Saturday morning we got up early and had breakfast and then learned some Pilates and exercise together. We also had some classes about good communication and inexpensive things to do for fun and we played some fun games. It was nice to get to know the women in our ward better. I had a lot of fun, but I missed Chad and was happy to come home to him.
Tuesday, October 14, 2008
Finally, an official employee and a trip to Peru!
Sunday, October 12, 2008
Our Trip to Canada
Michelle and I went to Canada over the weekend. It was a pretty crazy trip. We didn't leave until around 5:45 on Friday afternoon and we were with another couple from our ward who had accidentally got the directions to a different Sheraton in Toronto. So it took a while to figure out how to get to the right hotel. Once we got to our hotel though, there were two other couples from our ward also already there and we had a great time. We went to the hot tub (for some reason there are no hot tubs to be found in Syracuse anywhere) that night and again in the morning. We also got a free VIP breakfast from the hotel because someone in our group was upset that we had to pay for parking. So after that we basically went out to downtown Toronto and just walked around the city and saw some of the cool buildings there like the CN Tower (see pictures...its neat). We walked along Queen Street for a long time. It was a very interesting area with lots of people and shops and tourist attraction stuff along the way. By that I mean all the people trying to get you to give them money for the things they are doing on the sidewalk like drawing with chalk on the sidewalk or giving a puppet show or balancing rocks on top of each other, stuff like that. We came back on Saturday night pretty late, so we were in Toronto for really just one day but I think we all feel like we had enough time there. Since we were walking around downtown and the city for so long everyone was really tired and felt like they had seen it all. Obviously you could spend a lot more time in Toronto if you wanted to but we all felt like it was a nice good one day one night trip. We had a great time!
Friday, October 3, 2008
Twlight
VERY Interesting Article from RealClearPolitics.com
Nebraska and Maine?
I noted with interest stories today discussing McCain and Obama opening up campaign offices in some far-flung places: McCain in Bangor, Maine and Obama in Omaha, Nebraska. Maine and Nebraska do not have reputations as swing states, so what the heck are these guys up to?
Part of it is to head off the possibility of something like this occuring:

What you see here is a 269-269 tie in the Electoral College. So also is this:

What happens when there is such a tie? We go to Amendment 12, which states:
The person having the greatest Number of [Electoral College] votes for President, shall be the President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed; and if no person have such majority, then from the persons having the highest numbers not exceeding three on the list of those voted for as President, the House of Representatives shall choose immediately, by ballot, the President. But in choosing the President, the votes shall be taken by states, the representation from each state having one vote; a quorum for this purpose shall consist of a member or members from two-thirds of the states, and a majority of all the states shall be necessary to a choice.
That's right, the House of Representatives - which acquitted itself so beautifully over the last week! - gets to make the choice, but with a twist. Each state gets one vote. That makes things a little dicey, for both campaigns.
For McCain, the problem is obvious: the Democrats control the Congress. Not only that, but they currently control 27 of the 50 state caucuses. The GOP controls 21 and 2 are split.
But Obama has a problem here, too. In this scenario, McCain will have won more states, which means that to win, Obama will have to convince some Democrats to vote against their states. A few unfortunate souls would probably have to vote against their own districts. In 2004 George W. Bush won 255 congressional districts to Kerry's 180. A 269-269 tie like this implies that McCain will probably have won more districts than Obama, which would complicate matters for the Democrat.
Why is it that Maine and Nebraska are relevant to this scenario? Most states allocate electors on a winner-take-all basis. Maine and Nebraska do, too - but they also dole out electors depending upon who won which congressional districts. If McCain were to win Maine's second district, he'd get an elector. If Obama were to win Nebraska's third, he'd get an elector. That could make the difference.
That would be especially helpful because here's how the Vice-President is selected.
The person having the greatest number of votes as Vice-President, shall be the Vice-President, if such number be a majority of the whole number of Electors appointed, and if no person have a majority, then from the two highest numbers on the list, the Senate shall choose the Vice-President; a quorum for the purpose shall consist of two-thirds of the whole number of Senators, and a majority of the whole number shall be necessary to a choice.
Again, the same tension would exist. Biden would have more Democrats. Palin would have more states.
Note that the House picks the President, the Senate picks the Veep. That means it's possible to see a split in the executive branch - one party wins the top job, another wins the second job!
So, a spare elector from Maine or Nebraska could be quite useful.
Tuesday, September 30, 2008
What we would have looked like in the past
Another ESPN Article including BYU in the Conversation for a National Championship
The first official BCS standings won't be released until Oct. 19, but both polls and four of the six computer ratings that make up the formula are already being published.
So what are we waiting for?
Mock BCS standings
| Team | Record |
| 1. Oklahoma | 4-0 |
| 2. Alabama | 5-0 |
| 3. LSU | 4-0 |
| 4. Texas | 4-0 |
| 5. Missouri | 4-0 |
| 6. Penn State | 5-0 |
| 7. Georgia | 4-1 |
| 8. South Florida | 5-0 |
| 9. USC | 2-1 |
| 10. BYU | 4-0 |
| 11. Utah | 5-0 |
| 12. Texas Tech | 4-0 |
Perhaps the most important thing to remember when looking at these standings is … last season. It's been almost 12 months to the day since USC lost at home to Stanford as a 40-point favorite, and many people believed -- logic even dictated -- that the Trojans' national title hopes were gone. In retrospect, if they hadn't taken a second loss (at Oregon), they would've played for the BCS title in spite of that upset. That loss no more eliminated USC than a late home loss to Illinois did Ohio State or an even later home loss to Arkansas did LSU.
Or USC's loss last week to Oregon State, or Florida's loss last week to Ole Miss, or Georgia's … You get the point.
Highest Avg. Poll Ranking
By Non-BCS Team Entering Oct.
| Year | Team | Avg. Ranking (Avg. of 2 polls used by BCS) |
| 2008 | BYU | 8 |
| 2001 | Fresno State | 10.5 |
| 2004 | Utah | 14 |
| 2000 | TCU | 14 |
| 2007 | Hawaii | 15.5 |
| 1999 | Marshall | 17 |
| 2006 | Boise State | 21.5 |
• BYU is entering October with a BCS standing that would be good enough for automatic inclusion in a major bowl game. So the question isn't whether the Cougars will make the BCS if they go undefeated. It's whether they could actually work their way into the BCS Championship Game. Obviously, that's impossible to answer right now, but by having a coaches' poll ranking of 7 and a Harris poll ranking of 9 entering October, BYU has made such a discussion far from ridiculous.
It's the highest a non-BCS team has been ranked at this stage of the season in the BCS era, and it's pretty close to where the Cougars were ranked (6th by the coaches, 7th by the AP on Oct. 1) when they won their national title in 1984.
Brad Edwards is a college football researcher at ESPN. His Road to the BCS appears weekly during the season.
Monday, September 29, 2008
BYU in top 10
| USA Today Poll |
| 1. Oklahoma (57) 4-0 1,520 |
| 2. LSU (1) 4-0 1,399 |
| 3. Missouri 4-0 1,398 |
| 4. Alabama (2) 5-0 1,350 |
| 5. Texas (1) 4-0 1,310 |
| 6. Penn State 5-0 1,146 |
| 7. Brigham Young 4-0 1,054 |
| 8. Texas Tech 4-0 1,047 |
| 9. USC 2-1 990 |
| 10. Georgia 4-1 888 |
| 10. South Florida 5-0 888 |
| 12. Ohio State 4-1 854 |
| 13. Florida 3-1 832 |
| 14. Auburn 4-1 776 |
| 15. Utah 5-0 684 |
| 16. Kansas 3-1 555 |
| 17. Wisconsin 3-1 521 |
| 18. Boise State 3-0 446 |
| 19. Vanderbilt 4-0 351 |
| 20. Oregon 4-1 286 |
| 21. Fresno State 3-1 280 |
| 22. Oklahoma State 4-0 229 |
| 23. Connecticut 5-0 180 |
| 24. Virginia Tech 4-1 161 |
| 25. Wake Forest 3-1 148 |
Thursday, September 25, 2008
price of gas chart below
The Price of Gas

Over the past few, I have driven probably around 1,000 miles. That driving included traveling to Richmond, VA and then back here to Syracuse again. Luckily my car gets excellent gas mileage (usually around 35 mpg if it is on the highway the whole time). All this driving and filling up the gas tank several times got me thinking about gas prices. I have heard at least once or twice that the price of gas, as disgustingly expensive as it is, is actually low if you you factor in where it has been historically and then scale up the price for things like inflation. So I had heard that and always wondered if it was true. Since gas is something that everybody needs and uses on a regular basis I would be glad to learn that gas has not risen as much as inflation would normally cause something to rise, but I have never known for sure whether or not that is actually true. Coincidentally I am also working on a group project in school for a class about US foreign policy and national security. I was assigned to work on doing research on our country's energy policy. So I have been doing a little research on a few things and have found some interesting figures. This graph that I have posted shows the act
ual nominal price of gas since 1919 and then shows what that would be after adjustment for inflation. Interestingly, gas in 1919 was like3 dollars a gallon or something like that. Since 1919, with lots of ups and downs, the price of gas was actually decreasing until around 1999 or so. It spiked up and went down a little until around 2003 it looks like and has been going up through the roof ever since. I will continue to post things I have found in my research that I think are interesting. I will also try to figure out why the gas prices have been rising through the roof since around '03. If anyone know let me know. 
the graph I posted along with some other graphs can be found here: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/steo/pub/fsheets/real_prices.html
Just to give a quick explanation of the rising gas prices since 2003, i looked it up on Wikipedia (obviously not the best source of information and some say not even a good source of informaiton, but it has almost everything and is really easy to find) and here is a few paragrpahs directly from Wikipedia:
"From the mid-1980s to September 2003, the inflation adjusted price of a barrel of crude oil on NYMEX was generally under $25/barrel. Then during 2003, the price rose above $30, reached $60 by August 11, 2005, and rose above $146 in June 2008. Commentators have attributed the price increases of this period to a confluence of factors, including reports from the United States Department of Energy and others showing a decline in petroleum reserves,[1] worries over peak oil,[2] Middle East tension, and oil price speculation.[3] Some events have had short term effects on oil prices, such as North Korean missile launches,[4] the crisis between Israel and Lebanon,[5] tension between Iran and U.S.,[6] and "a hundred factors."[7]
At the start of September 2008, with prices having fallen back to $110, analyst Jan Rudolph said that "weakened economies" and record high prices had reduced demand worldwide. He pointed out that the oil market had changed fundamentally in 2008, and was not sensitive to price spikes from events such as Hurricane Gustav and the Russo-Georgian war.[8] In response to falling prices, OPEC declared it was prepared to take action (such as coordinated reductions in supply) to maintain prices near $100.[9]
Prices near $95–105 per barrel (2007 U.S. dollars) are equal to the previous all time inflation adjusted record of 1980.[10] This had been clearly exceeded by the first quarter of 2008. In terms of the crude price, U.S. records suggest that equivalent prices were last seen in the 1860s.[11] In terms of refined petroleum products, similar prices in real terms have not been seen since the 1920s.[12] Outside the U.S., the history of both inflation and oil prices will be different, but after being adjusted for inflation, prices over $120/barrel are unprecedented since the very earliest days of commercial oil production. Sustained high prices contribute to fears of an economic recession similar to that of the early 1980s.[13] In the United States, gasoline consumption dropped by 0.5% in the first two months of 2008 in response to higher prices,[14] compared to a drop of 0.4% total in 2007.[15]"
Sunday, September 21, 2008
How about the Cougars?
Here is the part of the article that talks about BYU:
What we learned from the Independents and non-BCS, Week 4 ![]()
September 21, 2008 4:40 PM
Posted by ESPN.com's Graham Watson
1. BYU is the non-BCS' best hope: No, not for a BCS bid, there are a still five other teams with undefeated records, but the Cougars might be the non-BCS' best hope for a national championship bid. I know, I know, it's only the fifth weekend of the season. Trust me, I've said the same thing a gazillion times to BYU fans. But you can't deny that there's something special in this team. After its controversial win against Washington, the Cougars have gone on to outscore their opponents 103-0. That's dominant no matter whom the Cougars are playing. The Cougars have their highest national ranking since 2001, and if things continue to go the way they're going, they'll be in the Top 8 by the time they meet Utah in November.
current rankings: http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/rankingsindex
Saturday, September 20, 2008
Girl's Night
Thanks Chad!
Friday, September 19, 2008
Michelle's 22nd Birthday
Yesterday Michelle turned 22 years old. Michelle and I celebrated it with our closest friends here in Syracuse. In the morning Michelle and I went out to breakfast at Dunkin' Donuts and at night we went out to eat at Chilli's with some friends and had cake afterwards. At the doctor's office where she works they also celebrated her birthday by having a special lunch for her with pizza and cupcakes. It worked out well going to chili's because Michelle got a gift card for Chili's (coincidentally) yesterday in the mail from her family. That was a very pleasant surprise. We bought a delicious cheesecake from Wal Mart for everyone to share. It was a fun day!
Sunday, September 14, 2008
UPDATE: BYU's new ranking
Final Score: BYU- 59 UCLA- 0
Tuesday, September 9, 2008
Congratulations Chad!
Thursday, September 4, 2008
While I Was Sleeping...
Tuesday, September 2, 2008
ROAD TRIP TO PENNSYLVANIA!!!
Friday, August 29, 2008
The New York State Fair
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs
Here are some pictures of where I go to school. This is the Maxwell Building at Syracuse University. I haven't even really gone in to any other buildings or ventured very far from the Maxwell Building (other than to get my ID card or little things like that). It just feels kind of weird to go to SU but not really have any idea what the campus looks like or anything. It is much different than doing my undergrad at BYU where i walked all over campus almost on a daily basis. I hope to see and get to know the entire campus, but honestly, I have almost no need to go anywhere else (all my classes and lectures are right here). Another big difference from BYU is that people smoke here (that is why there is a picture of an ash tray).


